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Project Citation: 

US Department of Agriculture, and US Forest Service. Potential recreation displacement by wildfire in Cleveland National Forest, California. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2026-05-31. https://doi.org/10.3886/E248738V1

Project Description

Project Title:  View help for Project Title Potential recreation displacement by wildfire in Cleveland National Forest, California
Summary:  View help for Summary This project was initiated to provide land managers with spatial information on the potential for recreation destinations to be closed or disrupted due to wildfire. Wildfires are a common occurrence in fire prone landscapes including much of southern California. Wildfires of any size can close national forests to the public for short durations due to safety concerns for forest visitors while the fire is active. However, larger, more destructive wildfires can lead to long-term recreation displacement by removing trail and campsite infrastructure, killing surrounding vegetation leading to safety concerns from falling trees, and increase the time to restore recreation opportunities. In this project, we create spatial data to show where the greatest risk of long-term recreation displacement due to wildfire is likely. We developed these recreation displacement likelihood datasets using two weather scenarios "dry" and "moderate", for the Cleveland National Forest, in California using data from 2016-2023. Each recreation displacement likelihood map was created using the following five spatial data inputs: canopy height, flame length probability, potential heat per unit area, burn probability, and potential fire severity. Canopy height was used as a measurement of vegetation type most likely to cause long-term disruption to recreation, that is fire-killed tall trees are more likely to disrupt recreation than shrubs or grass fuel types. Flame length probability and potential heat per unit area were used to measure fire intensity and amount of energy released from a fire. Burn probability conveys the likelihood of a fire occurring at a given location across the landscape. Potential fire severity indicates how damaging a fire would be if an ignition occurred. This data publication includes a separate geodatabase for dry and moderate weather conditions. Both of these geodatabases include 5 rasters: potential for fire to impact recreation, potential fire severity, burn probability, potential heat per unit area, and flame length probability. A geodatabase containing priority and non priority trail, priority and non priority road, as well as priority and non priority places of interest vector data is also provided. Vector data show where highly frequented locations overlap with the above-mentioned datasets. Priority locations represent highly visited locations or locations of high importance, whereas non priority locations are visited less frequently.
Original Distribution URL:  View help for Original Distribution URL https://www.fs.usda.gov/rds/archive/catalog/RDS-2025-0050

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms biota; society; Fire; Fire ecology; Fire effects on environment; Environment and People; Recreation; Natural Resource Management & Use; Forest management; recreation displacement; California; Cleveland National Forest
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage California
Time Period(s):  View help for Time Period(s) 2016 – 2023
Data Type(s):  View help for Data Type(s) geographic information system (GIS) data
Collection Notes:  View help for Collection Notes DOI: https://doi.org/10.2737/RDS-2025-0050 Authors: Drury, Stacy A. ; Fleming, Sean P. Publication year: 2025 (Downloaded 2026-05-30)


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