Land Use and Conservation Scenarios for California's 4th Climate Change Assessment

Principal Investigator(s):  View help for Principal Investigator(s) Benjamin Sleeter

Version:  View help for Version V1

Name File Type Size Last Modified
Land_Use_and_Conservation_Scenarios_for_California_s_4th_Climate_Change_Assessment_v2.xml application/xml 24.7 KB 11/13/2025 08:26:AM
Scenario-124.zip application/zip 48 MB 11/13/2025 08:25:AM
Scenario-125.zip application/zip 45.2 MB 11/13/2025 08:25:AM
Scenario-126.zip application/zip 43.6 MB 11/13/2025 08:25:AM
Scenario-127.zip application/zip 41.5 MB 11/13/2025 08:25:AM
Scenario-128.zip application/zip 50.7 MB 11/13/2025 08:25:AM
Scenario-129.zip application/zip 47.8 MB 11/13/2025 08:26:AM
Scenario-130.zip application/zip 46.1 MB 11/13/2025 08:25:AM
Scenario-134.zip application/zip 42.9 MB 11/13/2025 08:25:AM
Scenario-135.zip application/zip 43.2 MB 11/13/2025 08:25:AM

Project Citation: 

Sleeter, Benjamin. Land Use and Conservation Scenarios for California’s 4th Climate Change Assessment. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2025-11-13. https://doi.org/10.3886/E240255V1

Project Description

Project Title:  View help for Project Title Land Use and Conservation Scenarios for California's 4th Climate Change Assessment
Summary:  View help for Summary This dataset consists of modeled projections of land use and land cover for the State of California for the period 2001-2101. The Land Use and Carbon Scenario Simulator (LUCAS) model was initialized in 2001 and run forward on an annual time step to 2100. In total 9 simulations were run with 10 Monte Carlo replications of each simulation. Two base scenarios were selected from Sleeter et al., 2017 (http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017EF000560/full) for analysis, including a "business-as-usual" (BAU) land use scenario and a scenario based on "medium" population projections. For each base scenario we ran three alternative conservation scenarios where we simulated conversion of lands into conservation easements. The three conservation easement scenarios simulated conversion of 1) 120 km2/yr for 15 years, 2) 120 km2/yr for 30 years, and 3) 240 km2/yr for 30 years. All easement conversions were set to begin in 2020 and extend for their stated duration. In addition to the conservation easement scenarios, we also ran a variant of the BAU land use scenario where current Williamson Act lands were removed from the simulation of future conditions.
Original Distribution URL:  View help for Original Distribution URL https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/59fa6e5ae4b0531197aff9d3

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms California; LUCAS model; land cover; land use; projection; scenario
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage California
Time Period(s):  View help for Time Period(s) 1/1/2001 – 12/31/2101 (2001 to 2101)
Data Type(s):  View help for Data Type(s) geographic information system (GIS) data
Collection Notes:  View help for Collection Notes Downloaded 2025-11-13


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V1 [2025-11-13]

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