Projected shifts in fish species dominance in Wisconsin lakes under climate change

Principal Investigator(s):  View help for Principal Investigator(s) U.S. Geological Survey (USGS); Luke A Winslow, Jonathan F Hansen, Jordan S Read, Gretchen J.A. Hansen

Version:  View help for Version V1

Name File Type Size Last Modified
  CM2.0 model Projected shifts in fish species dominance in Wisconsin lakes under climate change 01/23/2026 06:37:AM
  ECHAM5.0 model Projected shifts in fish species dominance in Wisconsin lakes under climate change 01/23/2026 06:37:AM
  GENMOM model Projected shifts in fish species dominance in Wisconsin lakes under climate change 01/23/2026 06:38:AM
  NLDAS model Projected shifts in fish species dominance in Wisconsin lakes under climate change 01/23/2026 06:38:AM
  Spatial data Projected shifts in fish species dominance in Wisconsin lakes under climate change 01/23/2026 06:38:AM
Screenshot 2026-01-20 at 09-07-26 Projected shifts in fish species dominance in Wisconsin lakes under climate change - ScienceBase-Catalog.png image/png 447.3 KB 01/23/2026 01:37:AM

Project Citation: 

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), and Luke A Winslow, Jonathan F Hansen, Jordan S Read, Gretchen J.A. Hansen.   Projected shifts in fish species dominance in Wisconsin lakes under climate change. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2026-01-23. https://doi.org/10.3886/E244581V1

Project Description

Project Title:  View help for Project Title Projected shifts in fish species dominance in Wisconsin lakes under climate change
Summary:  View help for Summary Temperate lakes may contain both coolwater fish species such as walleye (Sander vitreus) and warmwater species such as largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides). Recent declines in walleye and increases in largemouth bass populations have raised questions regarding the future trajectories and appropriate management actions for these important species. We developed a thermodynamic model of water temperatures driven by downscaled climate data and lake specific characteristics to estimate daily water temperature profiles for 2151 lakes in Wisconsin, USA under contemporary (1989-2014) and future (2040-2064 and 2065-2089) conditions. We correlated contemporary walleye recruitment success and largemouth bass relative abundance to modeled water temperature, lake morphometry, and lake productivity, and projected lake specific changes in each species under future climate conditions. These data support the following publication: Hansen, G. J. A., Read, J. S., Hansen, J. F. and Winslow, L. A. (2016), Projected shifts in fish species dominance in Wisconsin lakes under climate change. Glob Change Biol. doi:10.1111/gcb.13462
Original Distribution URL:  View help for Original Distribution URL https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/576d5755e4b07657d1a3764f

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms Aquatic Biology; water; temperate lakes; modeling; climate change; species distribution models; thermal profiles inland Waters
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage Wisconsin
Collection Notes:  View help for Collection Notes (Downloaded 2026-01-20)


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V1 [2026-01-23]

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